Apr 7 2025, 6:30pm | 5 min read

Florida vs. Houston Same-Game Parlay (SGP): Can Will Richard, Walter Clayton Jr. Deliver in NCAA Championship?

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The Florida Gators look to continue its season of excellence behind Walter Clayton Jr. as they square off against the Houston Cougars in the National Championship. The Cougars were able to pull off a miraculous comeback in the Final Four against Duke, and now find themselves just one game away from glory. Here's a same-game parlay for Florida vs. Houston with three player prop angles included.

ANALYSIS

Florida vs. Houston Same-Game Parlay: Can Will Richard, Walter Clayton Jr. Deliver in National Championship SGP?

The National Championship is finally here and in surprising fashion, the Duke Blue Devils will be watching the trophy being lifted from home. Instead, it's the Florida Gators (-1.5) and Houston Cougars squaring off in what should be an entertaining matchup of contrasting offenses.

All eyes will be on Walter Clayton Jr. as he tries to will Florida yet again to another win. But can LJ Cryer play spoiler and complete his college journey the way he began: a national championship?

Given it is the national championship, I decided to make a longshot same-game parlay for Florida vs. Houston. Keep that in mind when placing this wager, as this is north of 13-1 for a reason! Without further ado, here is my SGP.

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Florida vs. Houston Odds

Moneyline: Florida (-115), Houston (-105)
Spread: Florida -1 (-105), Houston +1 (-115)
Total: Over 140.5 (-115), Under 140.5 (-105)

Florida vs. Houston Date, Time, and Where to Watch

Date: Monday, April 7, 2025
Game Time: 8:49 PM ET
Where to Watch: CBS

Click here for latest Florida vs. Houston Odds

Florida vs. Houston Same-Game Parlay

Leg 1: Walter Clayton Jr. 6+ Assists

This is an unconventional way to start a same-game parlay, but let’s head to a nice plus money prop to start. Walter Clayton Jr. has been the star of the tournament, leading Florida in back-to-back comeback wins over Texas Tech and Auburn (64 combined points).

But rather than backing his scoring in the National Championship, I’m looking toward his playmaking and facilitating. Houston’s defense is elite at forcing the ball out of the opposition’s best playmaker. They hard hedge off picks and pack the paint – forcing quick perimeter passes and catch-and-shoot 3s.

Clayton is going to have the ball in his hands on every possession. While he’s still going to play a key role as a scorer, I also expect his potential assist numbers to take a hefty leap up. In general, the Cougars are 317th in A/FGM and allow nearly 45% of all attempts from the perimeter.

Florida is not afraid to let it fly from 3, and we’ve seen Clayton develop as both an elite shotmaker, but strong passer as well. He was eighth in SEC play in assist rate and has 6+ assists in 41% of his games since UF’s first win at Auburn in early February.

Houston’s defense is elite and we’ve seen them stunt college basketball’s best along this NCAA Tournament run. But we’ve also seen some gaudy assist numbers from opposing point guards. Braden Smith had 15, and Zakai Zeigler assisted on 33% of all field goals made.

The Gators offense is an engine and their ability to stretch the floor should play perfectly into Clayton racking up potential assists. All it comes down to is converting.

Leg 2: Will Richard 15+ Points

This goes hand-in-hand with the reasoning for Clayton Jr. racking up potential assists. While he has not been shooting the ball well of late, positive regression could very well come in a big way for Richard.

The 6-foot-4 senior plays 30+ minutes per game because of his defensive prowess and physicality. But he also is a good 3-point shooter. While he’s 0-for-5 in his last two, Richard shot 37.5% in SEC play.

He is the perfect complement to Clayton Jr., mainly serving as a catch-and-shoot guard, and could very well see 5+ attempts from 3 tonight. And if he starts out hot, don’t be surprised to see him keep firing.

While he has struggled, this 15-point mark is not a needle in the haystack for Richard. Entering tonight’s game, Richard has finished with 15+ points in 7-of-12 (58%).

As mentioned earlier, Houston allows nearly 45% of all shot attempts to come from the perimeter. Getting the ball out of Clayton’s hands means more opportunities for Richard and Alijah Martin, among others. I’m willing to take a stab here at Richard in a buy-low opportunity. It also helps juice the parlay up in a perfect second-leg complement to Clayton’s alt 6+ assist prop.

Leg 3: Milos Uzan Over 11.5 Points

I’m going back to the well here with Milos Uzan after I couldn’t be more wrong against Duke. Foul trouble kept him off the floor for the majority of the first half, but it was the LJ Cryer on full display as the Cougars roared back to upset the Blue Devils.

Let's zag here with Cryer’s points prop becoming increasingly popular and the number rising higher and higher. Uzan has been particularly quiet the last couple of games, but this is a player who has scored 12+ points in 14 of his last 22 (64%).

Similar to Houston looking to shut off Clayton Jr. as much as possible, I expect the same thrown at Cryer. That means someone needs to step up for the Cougars – and Uzan is more than capable.

Uzan has become an excellent 3-point shooter this season (44%) and is more than capable of creating on his own. Tack on his physicality and quickness attacking downhill, and I’m expecting enough volume out of the third-year guard to score 12+ in the national championship.

Florida’s defense wants to force the opposition into isolation (35th in A/FGM), and its height should pose as a problem for J’Wan Roberts. All signs are pointing toward Uzan having to step up here.

Florida vs. Houston Same-Game Parlay (+1308) (Bet $100 to Collect $1408)

Leg 1: Walter Clayton Jr. 6+ Assists
Leg 2: Will Richard 15+ Points
Leg 3: Milos Uzan Over 11.5 Points

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Article Author

Charlie DiSturco

@charliedisturco

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Charlie DiSturco has been in the sports gambling space since 2020, specializing in college basketball, NFL and MLB. He most recently contributed to Action Network before joining oddschecker in 2025.

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