England travel to Cardiff with a slim chance of stealing the Six Nations title from France.
16:45 Saturday
Steve Borthwick's side remain in contention for the Six Nations title but are given only a 9-14% chance of pulling it off according to odds ranging from 6/1 to 10/1.
The favourites to win the title are France (best price 1/8), who enter the final day one point ahead of England and two ahead of Ireland.
Les Bleus will definitely claim the Six Nations title with a bonus point win over Scotland at the Stade de France but realistically only need to win because they hold a points difference 86 superior to England.
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England will only win the Six Nations if they beat Wales with the bonus point and France fail to beat Scotland. Ireland (25/1) will win a third consecutive title if they take a maximum five points against Italy and both France and England lose.
Borthwick has made four personnel changes for the match at the Principality Stadium, with Marcus Smith, Tom Roebuck, Luke Cowan-Dickie and Ben Curry coming into the starting XV.
It does, however, mean a whole host of positional changes with Tommy Freeman moving to outside centre, Elliot Daly from 15 to the left wing and Ben Earl from seven to number eight. Henry Pollock could make his Test debut from the bench.
Wales vs England Prediction
The oddschecker community is clearly disputing the favouritism for England on Saturday evening, with nearly 73% of the 1x2 market bets going the way of Wales - only 27% favour Borthwick's side for the result they need in Cardiff. That’s despite Wales being available at odds of 10/3 on Paddy Power.
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Wales vs England Odds
| Match Winner | Best Odds | Worst Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England | 8/25 | 1/4 |
| Wales | 10/3 | 5/2 |
| Draw | 33/1 | 20/1 |
Wales vs England Lineups
Wales Team to Play England
Murray; Mee, Llewellyn, B Thomas, Roberts; Anscombe, Tomos Williams; Smith, Dee, John, Rowlands, Jenkins, Wainwright, Morgan (capt), Faletau.
Replacements: Lake, G Thomas, Assiratti, Teddy Williams, Reffell, R Williams, J Evans, Tompkins.
England Team to Play Wales
M Smith; Roebuck, Freeman, Dingwall, Daly; F Smith, Mitchell; Genge, Cowan-Dickie, Stuart, Itoje (capt), Chessum, T Curry, B Curry, Earl.
Replacements: George, Baxter, Heyes, Cunningham-South, Pollock, Willis, Van Poortvliet, Ford.
Wales vs England Betting Tips
It’s been eight years since England beat Wales in the Six Nations in Cardiff so we can’t advise backing England to win at odds of 1/3.
Whether or not you believe Wales are good enough to record their first Test win since October 2023, Wales with a 13-point head start at 10/11 on Betfair looks a cracking bet.
