Eurovision 2025 Odds: The UK's chances drift as the favourite to win is revealed

Eurovision 2025 Odds: The UK's chances drift as the favourite to win is revealed

What are the UK's chances of winning Eurovision 2025 and who are the favourites?

The 69th Eurovision Song Contest, set to take place from May 13 to 17, 2025, in Basel, Switzerland, is shaping up to be an event to remember.

This marks Basel’s debut as a host city, offering a fresh backdrop for the competition in Switzerland’s third-largest city.

A diverse mix of 37 countries will compete, including some notable changes in the lineup, such as Moldova’s withdrawal and Montenegro’s return.

Music fans can look forward to a wide array of performances, from the UK’s country-pop girl band Remember Monday, who bring a genre-blending flair with their upbeat track "What The Hell Just Happened?", to Israel’s Yuval Raphael, whose powerful ballad "New Day Will Rise" carries a deeply personal message of hope and resilience following his survival of the 2023 Nova Music Festival attack.

Sweden’s entry, KAJ, marks a fun shift with their comedic, Swedish-language song, adding a lighthearted touch amidst the more serious contenders.

Who are the favourites to win and how are the UK expected to perform?

 

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Eurovision 2025 Odds

Country Odds Implied Probability
Sweden 2/1 33%
Austria 7/2 22%
Israel 7/1 13%
France 9/1 10%
Netherlands 10/1 9%
Finland 20/1 5%

 

United Kingdom Eurovision Odds

The United Kingdom’s Eurovision 2025 entrant, Remember Monday, is set to bring something new to the competition with their country-pop fusion track "What The Hell Just Happened?".

They opened at a best price of 12/1 and were 50/1 on the date that the UK entant was announced but have since drifted to a best price of 150/1 with Betfred.

The girl band, made up of Lauren Burne, Holly Anne-Hull, and Charlotte Steel, hails from Farnborough, Hampshire, and gained initial recognition after appearing on The Voice UK in 2019.

They mark the first girl band to represent the UK since 1999.

With their harmonized vocals and playful mix of country, pop, and musical theatre influences, they are aiming to stand out in a year dominated by more traditional pop acts.

UK’s recent Eurovision entries, have struggled in recent years; in the past decade, the United Kingdom's best Eurovision finish was in 2022 when Sam Ryder's performance of "Space Man" secured second place with 466 points, marking the UK's highest placement since 1998.

Remember Monday’s growing popularity, highlighted by over 11.3 million likes on TikTok, paired with their success in the British Country Music Association, give them a chance to improve on last year's 18th place finish.

Who is favourite to win Eurovision 2025?

Sweden are the favourites to win Eurovision 2025 with "Bara bada bastu" by KAJ who is a best price of 2/1 with Betfred to win.

Their quirky, comedic performance is a refreshing change from Sweden’s usual serious pop. With a strong track record of seven wins and consistent top performances, they’re likely to dominate both juries and televoters, making them a top contender for first place.

Austria’s "Wasted Love" by JJ is the second favourite at a best price of 7/2 with Sky Bet

JJ combines opera and pop with dramatic techno beats. You can expect a strong live performance with experience in Opera and his classical background (currently performing at the Vienna State Opera and studying at the Music and Art Private University).

Their recent success (6th in 2024) and unique song could help them stand out and challenge for a top spot.

Israel’s "New Day Will Rise" by Yuval Raphael is the third favourite at 7/1 with various bookmakers.

The emotional ballad, shaped by Yuval’s personal story, may appeal to juries but could face challenges with televote support due to political factors.

However, Israel’s strong Eurovision history and recent top finishes still give them a solid chance.

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