Who are the favourites to win at this year's Oscars?
The biggest night in Hollywood is almost here, with the 2025 Oscars set for Sunday, March 2, at the iconic Dolby Theatre where comedian and television host Conan O’Brien will make his Academy Awards hosting debut.
The nominations were announced on January 23, 2025, with Emilia Pérez leading the pack with 13 nods, followed by The Brutalist and Wicked, each with 10. These films are among the frontrunners for Best Picture, alongside others like Conclave, Anora, and A Complete Unknown.
Expect a star-studded night, featuring performances from Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande, and presenters like Cillian Murphy and Scarlett Johansson.
With the industry's biggest names competing for gold, all eyes are on who will take home the night’s top prizes, but who are the favourites to win?
BetMGM UK
Oscars Best Picture Odds
| Best Picture | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Anora | 4/7 | 64% |
| Conclave | 11/4 | 27% |
| The Brutalist | 7/1 | 14% |
| A Complete Unknown | 50/1 | 2% |
| Emilia Perez | 80/1 | 1.2% |
| Wicked | 100/1 | 1% |
Anora (4/7 with Ladbrokes, 64%) is the firm Best Picture favourite, riding momentum from its Palme d’Or win and major industry recognition, including the Producers Guild Award.
Sean Baker’s comedic yet tragic tale has resonated with voters and bettors alike as 37% of bets made through oddshecker in the last week have been on Anora to win.
Interestingly, the most backed bet via oddschecker has won this category in the last four years and in five of the last seven!
The only time the most backed hasn't won was in 2020 when 1917 was narrowly favoured over Parisite which went on to win and in 2019 when Roma was favoured by bettors over the winner, Green Book.
Conclave (11/4 with BetMGM, 27%) is its strongest challenger, with Edward Berger’s Vatican-set thriller earning critical acclaim and a BAFTA Best Picture win, which could sway Academy voters looking for a prestige drama.
The Brutalist (7/1 with Ladbrokes, 14%) remains in contention after securing a Golden Globe win and 10 Oscar nominations, though its lengthy runtime and AI-generated elements have divided opinion.
Oscars Best Actor Odds
| Best Actor | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Brody - The Brutalist | 2/5 | 71% |
| Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown | 2/1 | 66% |
| Ralph Fiennes - Conclave | 25/1 | 4% |
| Sebastian Stan - The Apprentice | 50/1 | 2% |
| Colman Domingo - Sing Sing | 80/1 | 1.2% |
Adrien Brody (2/5 with Paddy Power, 71%) is the heavy favourite for Best Actor, thanks to his powerful, emotionally raw portrayal of a Hungarian-Jewish architect in The Brutalist.
Brody wouldn't be winning his first Oscar after his win in 2003 for his role in The Pianist.
Timothée Chalamet (2/1 with bet365, 66%) is another top contender, with his transformative performance as Bob Dylan in James Mangold’s musical biopic 'A Complete Unknown' which has earned the actor widespread praise for its intensity and authenticity, including Chalamet performing his own singing.
Chalamet has received the most bets through oddschecker in this category with 38% of total bets.
The most backed via oddschecker has won in six of the last seven year's with the one anomaly being when Chadwick Boseman was backed over Anthony Hopkins.
Ladbrokes
- Wide range of markets available such as sports, virtuals, politics etc.
- Flush and fast app available on both iOS and Android
- Licensed by the UK Gambling Commission
Oscars Best Actress Odds
| Best Actress | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Demi Moore - The Substance | 4/9 | 69% |
| Mikey Madison - Anora | 9/4 | 31% |
| Fernanda Torres - Im Still Here | 14/1 | 7% |
| Cynthia Erivo - Wicked | 100/1 | 1% |
| Karla Sofia Gascon - Emilia Perez | 100/1 | 1% |
Demi Moore (4/9 with Ladbrokes, 69%) is the clear frontrunner for Best Actress, with her performance as Elisabeth Sparkle in The Substance.
Her powerful portrayal of a woman grappling with aging and self-worth, along with a raw Golden Globes speech, has captured both critical acclaim and the attention of voters.
At 62, this marks her first Oscar nomination, adding a career-comeback narrative.
Mikey Madison (9/4, 31%) is another strong contender, having earned praise for her breakout role as Ani in Anora.
Her performance as a Brooklyn sex worker caught in a chaotic, comedic odyssey earned her a BAFTA win at just 25 years-old.
Oddschecker bettors have been less accurate in their predictions in this market with the most popular bet winning in just three of the last seven years.
As things stand Fernanda Torres is the most popular bet with 44% of total bets. Demi Moore has 30% and Mikey Madison has 13%.
Bet365
- Slick, clean interface
- Full suite of safer gambling options including profit/loss
- Market leading all customer offers across all sports
Oscars 2025 Favourites
- Best Picture: Anora - 4/7
- Best Actor: Adrien Brody - The Brutalist - 2/5
- Best Actress: Demi Moore - The Substance - 4/9
- Best Animated Feature Film: The Wild Robot - 4/11
- Best Director: Sean Baker - Anora - 4/7
- Best Original Song - El Mal - Emilia Perez - 2/5
