England face Italy in the Six Nations as they look to finish strong in a fixture they have historically dominated.
England welcome Italy to Twickenham on Sunday, knowing that anything less than a bonus-point win could all but end their Six Nations title hopes.
Steve Borthwick’s side have made a habit of nail-biting finishes, edging past Scotland and Wales by a single point, but against an Italian team they’ve never lost to, they’ll want a more comfortable afternoon.
Italy ran England close last yearwhen pushing England to the brink and delivering their best-ever performance against them in the tournament. A late Paolo Garbisi penalty nearly secured a historic upset, but England held on.
Despite their recent thrashing by France, Italy won't go down without a fight.
Can England maintain their perfect record, or will Italy push them to the limit as they did in last year’s 27-24 thriller in Rome?
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England vs Italy Odds
| Result | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| England | 1/16 | 94% |
| Draw | 55/1 | 1.8% |
| Italy | 14/1 | 7% |
England & Italy Six Nations Results
| Team | Round 1 Result | Round 2 Result | Round 3 Result | Points After 3 Rounds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | Lost to Ireland 22-27 | Beat France 26-25 | Beat Scotland 16-15 | 10 |
| Italy | Lost to Scotland 19-31 | Beat Wales 22-15 | Lost to France 24-73 | 4 |
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Who are the favourites to win England vs Italy?
England are overwhelming 1/16 favourites (94% chance) to extend their perfect record against Italy, having won all 31 previous encounters.
But last year’s narrow 27-24 result showed the Azzurri can threaten. Italy, priced at 14/1 (7%) with bet365, will hope to pick themselves up and dust themselves off after a 73-24 defeat to France last time out.
England, who have seen all three Six Nations come down single digits now need a bonus-point win to stay in title contention.
Their last 15 matches against top teams have been decided by single-digit margins (average winning margin: 3.5 points).
Six Nations Winner Odds
| Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| France | 1/7 | 88% |
| England | 10/1 | 9% |
| Ireland | 20/1 | 5% |
| Scotland | 750/1 | 0.1% |
