Nigel Farage becomes increasingly likely to be the Prime Minister of the UK.
Nigel Farage's odds of becoming the next UK Prime Minister are shortening amid his rising popularity and the declining approval ratings of the current Labour government.
Farage is gaining momentum as more voters look for alternatives to the traditional political parties. His high-profile interactions and a growing public sentiment for change are further contributing to the rising support.
He has taken 63% of bets through oddschecker to become the next PM in past seven days in the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer market.
Interestingly, this rise in popularity comes as the former UKIP leader price has dropped from 13/2 to 9/2 to become the second favourite to be the next Conservative leader.
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Next Prime Minister Odds
| Candidate | Best Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 7/2 | 22% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 9/2 | 18% |
| Wes Streeting | 10/1 | 9% |
| Angela Rayner | 16/1 | 6% |
Amid the surge in bets for Farage, Keir Starmer's chances of clinging on to power following the next election have drifted slightly, with odds of 1/1 indicating a 50% probability.
There has also been a notable increase in bets on Starmer’s Exit Date, with growing support for him to leave office in 2025, prompting odds to shorten from 9/2 at the end of October 2024 to a current best price of 9/4 with Betfred.
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Meanwhile 66% of the bets placed through oddschecker in the past 24 hours have backed Reform UK in the Most Seats at the next General Election market.
They are currently a best price of 13/5 with AKBets to build on their five current seats and win the most.
Who is favourite to be the next Prime Minister?
Nigel Farage is currently the 7/2 favourite with to be the next Prime Minister with Ladbrokes.
The possibility of Farage becoming the next Conservative Party leader has grown recently. Currently, 45% of Tory voters view him favorably according to a recent YouGOV survey, though this still lags behind Kemi Badenoch’s 55%.
He is also favourable with 28% of Britons - higher than Starmer's 25% and Badenoch's 18%.
