Latest Update in Pennsylvania, Georgia and all 7 Key Swing States According to our US Election Odds Tracker

Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are the states which Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are both desperate to win in order to become the next US President.

Every state is crucial for different reasons and each carries it's own number of Electoral College Votes which both Trump and Harris need to win in order to become President of the United States.

Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris need 270 ECVs, which will give them ownership of the White House for the next four years.

To get there, both Trump and Harris will need to win the states outlined below. Here at oddschecker, we take a look at the latest odds for each state, when voting closes and when exit polls might emerge.

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Pennsylvania

Trump extends lead according to bookmakers

Earlier in the day Pennsylvania was closing in on 50/50 between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. But bookmakers are now starting to give Donald Trump an even higher probability of winning the 19 crucial ECVs.

Trump was at 10/11, he's now with some bookmakers at 8/11, giving him an implied probability victory of 57.9%. Harris on the other hand has got out to 5/4.

We can expect the first exit polls to come through around 3-4am UK time.

Georgia

Trump maintains slight grip on lead in swing state

Georgia was the main focus of Donald Trump's anger in 2020 when he lost the state to Joe Biden but as things stands, the bookmakers have him coming back to win Georgia.

Earlier bookies had him at 8/15 but he's not at 1/2, giving him a slightly higher implied probability of winning from 65.2% to 66%. This is the news Trump and his fans will be desperate to hear if he wants to claim all 16 ECVs on offer.

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North Carolina

Trump's margin improved in 16 ECV state

With 16 ECVs, North Carolina is one of the biggest swing states in this article, with only Pennsylvania holding more.

Trump won this 'purple' state back in 2020 with a majority of 70,000 and many bookies are expecting the same outcome.

It's a similar story in North Carolina as it was in Georgia where Trump's probability of winning has risen ever so slightly from 63.6% to 65.2%. Harris, meanwhile, has remained the same with the bookmakers at 7/4.

Michigan

Harris retains grip on Great Lakes State

Holding 15 crucial ECVs, this state has backed the right horse in the past two elections, supporting Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020.

Despite backing the Democrats, there has been discontent among voters, particularly on Biden's policy in the Middle East. But Harris still holds a slender lead in the polls and that's reflected with the bookies

Kamala Harris looks set to win the state as her odds continue to lengthen, putting her at 1/2 where she was 8/15, an increased probability to 66.7%. Trump remains an outside bet at 7/4. We can expect the first exit polls around 4am UK time.

Arizona

Odds shorten but remain in Trump's favour

The Grand Canyon State was crucial to Joe Biden's success in the 2020 US Election when he hoovered up 11 ECVs en route to defeating Donald Trump.

Donald Trump is favourite to reclaim the state, which has been a focal point for the immigration debate as well as abortion rights.

The odds have narrowed slightly from earlier where Trump was up as good at 1/4, he's now at 2/7 with still a high probability of 77.8% of taking the state and it's 11 ECVs.

Harris is now at 3/1 to replicate Joe Biden and win the state once more for the Democrats.

Wisconsin

Trump on the up but Harris favourite to take Wisconsin

The Badger State has been on the right side of history in the last two elections, backing the winner in 2016 and 2020. 

Donald Trump claimed that if his Republican party win in Wisconsin then they will "win the whole thing".

Harris was at an implied probability of 60% earlier in the day. That number has fallen below the 60% line, giving hope of a Trump upset in the state. But the Vice President still remains on track to for victory here.

Trump has closed the gap and is now at 5/4, a good bet for those predicting a shock in the north of the country.

Expect the results not to come for a few days as the laborious process of counting takes hold.

Nevada

Odds narrow to make it a toss up between Trump and Harris

While this state has remained in the hands of the Democrats for the last several elections, this is a real toss up of a state following the latest bookmaker odds.

Trump had enjoyed a wide lead over Biden in earlier polls but since Harris took over the Democrat nomination when Biden stood down in July, the polls have closed up once again as both sides vie for a strong Latino vote.

The odds have really narrowed in the state of Nevada, putting this race on an knife edge. Harris has gone from 13/10 to evens. However, Trump is still the favourite, only just.