2024 Democratic Nominee Odds: Oddsmakers Giving Gavin Newsom Momentum to Take Over Joe Biden
2024 Democratic Nominee Odds: Oddsmakers Giving Gavin Newsom Momentum to Take Over Joe Biden
Do you want to know the real winner of last night's debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden?
It was Gavin Newsom, whose name was trending all over social media after Joe Biden probably mumbled and stumbled his way off the presidential ballot soon.
Newsom is currently the Governor of California and a member of the Democratic party. Best of all, he's only 56 years old. He would likely be a breath of fresh air for many Americans looking for a politician who isn't nearing his 80s to be president of the United States.
With real concern that Biden will be unable to run in this year's election, Governor Newsom's odds have skyrocketed. Check out where Newsom stands this morning.
Odds to be Democratic Candidate Before Debate
| Democratic Candidate | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | +1000 | 9.09% |
Oddsmakers were only giving Governor Newsom a 9.09% chance at being the Democratic candidate for the 2024 Presidential election.
However, after Biden's mess of a debate last night, check out where Governor Newsom's odds are now.
Odds to be Democratic Candidate After Debate
| Democratic Candidate | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | -175 | 63.64% |
| Gavin Newsom | +225 | 30.77% |
Joe Biden still has a 63.64% probability of being the Democratic candidate for this year's presidential election.
That said, Newsome has jumped from a 9.09% chance to a 30.77% chance of becoming the next Democratic candidate. He's jumped about 20% without saying or doing anything. It's just based on the fact that Biden didn't look fit to be the president of the United States anymore.
That said, Newsom went from +2200 to +500 to win the election, and Vice President Kamala Harris is now +1400 to win the Presidential election despite being +5000 before the debate.
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.