2025 Masters Final Round Odds: Can Rory McIlroy Avoid Collapse, Win First Green Jacket on Sunday?
2025 Masters Final Round Odds: Can Rory McIlroy Avoid Collapse, Win First Green Jacket on Sunday?
The 89th Masters has gifted us a fantastic narrative heading into Sunday's final round. Rory McIlroy will attempt to end his career drought at Augusta National, holding a two-stroke lead over Bryson DeChambeau at 12-under-par.
DeChambeau rallied late at the U.S. Open in June 2024 to beat McIlroy with an impressive closing stretch. Now, McIlroy will be in the final pairing with DeChambeau on Sunday at the Masters. It's going to be a lot of fun to watch two of golf's most dominant players go head-to-head for an opportunity to wear their first green jacket.
PGA handicapper Matt MacKay is here with his latest analysis and predictions ahead of Round 4 at the Masters using the latest odds. Follow Matt's X account for more PGA betting analysis and free picks throughout the 2025 PGA Tour season.
2025 Masters Final Round Odds
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2025 Masters Final Round Odds
RORY MCILROY (-190) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best Masters Winner odds
Rory McIlroy has won two of five events played on the PGA Tour in 2025. He's aiming to go 3-for-6 on Sunday, with a lot at stake in regards to his legacy.
Augusta National has haunted McIlroy ever since he blew a 54-hole lead in 2011. Now, he'll get a chance to avenge that disastrous loss, while also getting an opportunity to beat Bryson DeChambeau after melting down at Pinehurst No. 2 during the 2024 U.S. Open.
McIlroy carded two eagles and three birdies in Round 3. It wasn't a bogey-free round like Friday but he didn't make any late mistakes, compared to what happened on the final few holes on Thursday. If not for that setback, McIlroy would be carrying a four or six-stroke lead into Round 4.
There isn't a lot of value on McIlroy right now at -188 odds. However, if he has a similar 4-under-par start on the first few holes like Saturday, expect these odds to shorten from -188 to -500. If you're a believer in McIlroy, now is the time to pounce before Round 4 tees off.
BRYSON DECHAMBEAU (+260) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best Masters Winner odds
Undoubtedly the biggest power hitter remaining in the field, DeChambeau's distance off-the-tee will challenge McIlroy on Sunday. It's going to come down to approach shots, scrambling, and putting. Thus far, DeChambeau's been more accurate finding fairways at 79 percent, compared to McIlroy's 64 percent.
DeChambeau's weakness has been hitting greens in regulation. The LIV golfer has hit 59 percent through three rounds, including his worst day on Saturday, finding only 50 percent of greens. He was forced to scramble, which DeChambeau is exceptional at executing.
Putts per round was virtually the same for DeChambeau and McIlroy in Round 3 at 1.39. DeChambeau's been more consistent with his flat stick since Round 1. However, he's logged eight bogeys, including three in Round 3.
If DeChambeau can stick to his game, he'll likely be tasked with some tough up and downs. He's skilled enough under pressure to save par and warrants serious consideration for the outright win at +260. Especially with McIlroy facing way more pressure.
COREY CONNERS (+1800) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best Masters Winner odds
Corey Conners is being ignored despite entering Round 4 only four strokes behind McIlroy. The Canadian ball-striker hung tough after recording two bogeys early in Round 3. Conners went on to rattle off three consecutive birdies to finish 2-under-par on Saturday.
18-1 implies oddsmakers are bearish on Conners to pour in birdies and contend for the outright win. His best chance came on Saturday with McIlroy but Conners was unable to keep up with his relentless pace.
He's great tee-to-green but putting has been mediocre on the undulated Bentgrass greens. Conners is a prospect worth betting on in the Round Score prop market at 71.5. Or, in a matchup against Patrick Reed at -115 odds.
SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER (+4000) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best Masters Winner odds
The defending champion at Augusta National, Scottie Scheffler, hasn't quite had enough magic to be in serious contention on Sunday. He's seven strokes behind McIlroy at 5-under-par, good enough for T6 on the leaderboard.
Scheffler is 40-1 to win the Masters for the third time in four years. He won in 2022 and 2024. Scheffler finished even par in Round 3, only recording a pair of birdies on par 5s. He's hitting 63 percent of greens, which is the field average, while finding 71 percent of fairways, which is three percent lower than the field.
Putting has been an issue for the World No. 1 golfer. He's gone from 1.44 putts per hole in Round 1, to 1.61 putts per hole on Friday and Saturday. If you want to sprinkle a 0.10 unit wager on Scheffler to get red-hot without as many eyeballs on him due to his position on the leaderboard, that'd return four units of profit.
Otherwise, it's best to target Scheffler in his Round Score or Birdies or Better prop markets.
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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.