2025 NBA Play-In Tournament Odds: Which Teams Will Make The NBA Playoffs?
2025 NBA Play-In Tournament Odds: Which Teams Will Make The NBA Playoffs?
The NBA Play-In Tournament was implemented for the 2021 Playoffs. It helped expand the potential playoff field from eight teams to 10 teams.
Before the Play-In Tournament, the top eight seeds in the Eastern Conference and Western Conference would head to the playoffs. Now, only the top six teams in each conference are guaranteed a playoff spot.
The following four teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences must play in the NBA Play-In Tournament.
That said, teams ranked 7 or 8 in their conference must win one of two games to earn a playoff position. Yet, teams ranked 9 or 10 will need to win two games to earn a spot in the NBA Playoffs.
Ultimately, the 7-seed plays the 8-seed in each conference. The winner of that game will move on into the playoffs. However, the loser of that game will play the winner of the 9-10 game for the final eight seed in the conference.
Therefore, a No. 7 seed like the Warriors is more likely to make the playoffs than 10-seeded Dallas. The Mavericks would need to win their game against the Kings and then knock off the loser of the 7-8 seed to make the NBA Playoffs.
I've added some of the best play-in tournament bets below.
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2025 NBA Play-In Tournament Odds: Eastern Conference
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | -950 |
| Atlanta Hawks | -340 |
| Chicago Bulls | +410 |
| Miami Heat | +360 |
NBA Play-In Tournament Analysis: Eastern Conference
Atlanta Hawks To Not Make The Playoffs (+260)
I already have the Atlanta Hawks losing to the Orlando Magic in a 7-8 game. Therefore, the Magic would be stuck having to play the Bulls or Heat in the second round.
Meanwhile, I wouldn't be surprised if the Heat knocked off the Bulls in the first round and faced the Hawks in the final Eastern Conference Play-In Game.
After all, the Heat have already defeated the Hawks in each of their last two games against them. Miami earned a 122-112 win over the Hawks on March 27, after shooting 53.7% from the floor.
Miami Heat To Make The Playoffs (+360)
If you agree with this scenario, the Miami Heat at +360 would make the most sense. If the Heat beat the Bulls and the Hawks, they'd be the No. 8 seed in the playoffs.
You can also consider taking the Hawks to not make the playoffs at +260 if you think the Bulls will do what I suggest the Heat will do.
Click here for complete NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Odds
2025 NBA Play-In Tournament Odds: Western Conference
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | -4000 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -430 |
| Sacramento Kings | +410 |
| Dallas Mavericks | +820 |
NBA Play-In Tournament Analysis: Western Conference
Memphis Grizzlies To Miss The Playoffs (+310)
For one, I've got the Memphis Grizzlies losing to the Golden State Warriors on the road in the 7-8 game. With a loss, the Grizzlies would have to take on the Sacramento Kings or Dallas Mavericks in a do-or-die matchup.
Ultimately, the Kings will be home against the Mavericks in the 9-10 game and are the favorites to defeat Dallas in that first game. So it's likely the Kings will take on the Grizzlies in the final Western Conference Play-In Tournament game.
Sacramento Kings To Make The Playoffs (+410)
The Kings have defeated the Grizzlies in two consecutive games, including a 132-122 win on March 17. In that game, Desmond Bane scored 44 points, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Kings, who shot 52.3% from the field and 48.8% from downtown.
The Grizzlies even shot 21-for-21 from the foul line and still lost to a Kings team that missed 10 foul shots. It just shows you how much deeper the Kings are.
Click here for complete NBA Western Conference Playoff Odds
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.